Friday 1 March 2013

MAR 13: ANNUAL INDEX HEADS SOUTH


The world seems to be in flux; AAA rating gone, Italians vote for a comedian with a record of manslaughter and UKIP beat the conservatives in Eastleigh. The fiscal cliff in the USA is not averted and politicians in the west are just paralysed with the debt legacy binge which they have no courage to deal with lest they end up losing to a comedian.
Some things however do not seem to change. The annual survey of antiques published by the Antiques Collectors Club, known as the Antique Furniture Index, initiated in 1968, has continued to show falls in values. The rot set in in 2002 when the index peaked. Every year since has shown a decline and the 2012 result, (-3%), is now at the index level of the mid 90’s. In plain English, practically any antique furniture purchased after 1995 is now worth less than its purchase price.
Of course the Index does not apply to all antiques and clocks are not specifically included. As with all averages there will be exceptions and there will always be sub-categories which buck the trend. Golden Age clockmakers would certainly be an exception. Reading the few specialist clock auction catalogues, one can easily become maudlin as longcase clocks appear to be at their nadir with many estimates for run of the mill lots at around £500. However museum pieces, particularly those with a Chinese connection continue to surprise.

In the tavern clock world practically every lot auctioned in 2012 failed to excite as the quality just was not there. The spectacular and singular exception was the early shield dial auctioned by Bonhams in December. Made by Gabril Holland in around 1740 this was an unrestored example which the trade loves. Not without its faults, but a very desirable example, it was sold for a stonking £23000, including commission. Compare that with the more typical auction prices of £3000-5000 and it is clear that averages never tell the entire story. There is no substitute for specialist knowledge. For more information on tavern clocks auctioned in 2012 go to www.tavernicus.co.uk and follow the Forum link to auctions; over 30000 hits to date.
It is to be hoped that the Holland result will “encourager les autres”; poor auction results are self-perpetuating as the quality lots go to sleep with sellers sitting on their hands until better times. Some people have been sat on their hands for ten years as values continue to fall. Hopefully a few great lots will now emerge to excite us, failing which we can continue to follow the unrelenting scenarios going on all around us which would be comic if they were not so tragic.